In the National Review Online, Victor Davis Hanson provides a useful reminder of the postmortems that followed the first Gulf War and other U.S. military actions in the 1990s.
If one were to go back and read the most popular accounts of the first Gulf War, The Generals’ War by Michael Gordon and Bernard Trainor of Cobra II fame, or Rick Atkinson’s Crusade, or research the bi-partisan arguments that raged across the opinion pages in the 1990s following the defeat and survival of Saddam Hussein, certain themes reappear constantly that surely help to explain our current presence inside Iraq.One was shared regret that Saddam was left in power in 1991. No sooner had the war ended than George Bush Sr. appeared, not joyous in our success, but melancholy, and then distraught, once images of the butchered and refugees beamed back from our “victory†in Iraq. Culpability for thousands of dead Shiites and Kurds, the need for no-fly zones, and worry about reconstituted WMD were the charges then leveled.
[ . . . ] We praise the first Gulf War now. Yet, almost immediately in its aftermath, critics accused us of overkill, of using too many soldiers to blast too many poor Iraqis. The charge then was not that we had too few troops, but too many; not that the Pentagon had understated the need for troops, but overstated and sent too many; not that we had too few allies, but an unwieldy coalition that hampered American options; not that the effort was too costly, but that we were too crassly commercial in forcing allies to pony up cash as if war were supposed to be a profitable enterprise.
The generic criticism in the 1990s of the United States, both here and abroad, was that America bombed from on high, and sometimes, as in Belgrade or Africa, even indiscriminately — its only concern being fear of losses, not worry over civilian collateral damage or ending the war decisively on the ground. Indeed, in Europe there was voiced a certain cynicism that we were cowardly turning war into an antiseptic enterprise (the “body bag syndromeâ€), adjudicated only by our concern not to engage with the enemy below.
There were other issues now forgotten. After the acrimony in the debate over Iraq in 1990, followed by the successful removal of Saddam Hussein, Democrats were determined never again to be on the wrong side of the national security debate. So they supported the present war because they were convinced that after Panama, Gulf War I, Bosnia, Kosovo, and Afghanistan, they could regain credibility by supporting muscular action that seemed to pose little risk of failure. That is why only recently have Democratic supporters of the war bailed — and only when polls suggested that any fear of “cut and run†or McGovernism would be outweighed by tapping into popular dissatisfaction with Iraq.
Realism is much in vogue these days, with James Baker returning as the purported fireman, and even Democrats demanding talks with horrific dictators in Iran and North Korea. That was not the mantra of the 1990s. The Reaganism that rejected Cold War realpolitik and risked brinkmanship to bring down a rotten and murderous Soviet Empire was considered both the wiser and more ethical stance, as even Democrats reformulated their opportunistic criticism after the fall of the Berlin Wall. Mutually Assured Destruction, Kissingerian tolerance for the status quo, and mere containment — all that was scoffed at in the afterglow of Reagan’s squeeze that popped the Soviet bubble.
Not long ago, abdication — from Rwanda or Haiti, or from the Balkans for a decade — not intervention, was the supposed sin. There were dozens of Darfurs in the 1990s, when charges flew of moral indifference. The supposition then — as now — was that those who called for boots on the ground to stop a genocide would not unlikely be the first to abdicate responsibility once the coffins came home and the military was left fighting an orphaned war.
Apparently all the high-minded talk of reform — Aristotle rightly scoffed about morality being easy in one’s sleep — was predicated only on cost-free war from 30,000 feet. Now the wisdom is that Colin Powell — the supposed sole sane and moral voice of the present administration — was drowned out by shrill neocon chicken hawks. But that was not the consensus of the 1990s. In both books and journalism, he was a Hamlet-like figure who paused before striking the needed blow, and so was pilloried by the likes of a Michael Gordon or Madeline Albright for not using the full force of the American military to intervene for moral purposes. That was then, and this is now, and in-between we have a costly war in Iraq that has taken the lives of nearly 3,000 Americans.
[The reference to Albright in the prior paragraph comes from Colin Powell’s My American Journey:”The debate exploded at one session when Madeleine Albright, our ambassador to the UN, asked me in frustration, ‘What’s the point of having this superb military that you’re always talking about if we can’t use it?’ I thought I would have an aneurysm.”]
[ . . . ] The U.S. Senate and House voted for war in Iraq, not merely because they were deluded about the shared intelligence reports on WMD (though deluded they surely were), but also because of the 22 legitimate casus belli they added just in case. And despite the recent meae culpae, those charges remain as valid today as they were when they were approved: Saddam did try to kill a former American president; the U.N. embargo was violated, as were its inspection protocols; the 1991 accords were often ignored; the genocide of brave Kurds did happen; suicide bombers were being given bounties; terrorists, including those involved into the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, were given sanctuary by Saddam; and on and on.
So it is not those charges, but we who leveled them, that have changed. Americans’ problem with the war is not that it was not moral, but that it has been deemed too costly for the perceived benefits that might accrue.
The conventional wisdom was that, after Afghanistan (7 weeks of fighting) and its post-bellum stability (a government within a year), a more secular Iraq (3 weeks of fighting) would follow the same timetable. In September 2002, well after the “miracle†in Afghanistan, I listened to a high-ranking admiral pontificate that war on the ground was essentially over in the new age of Green Berets and laptops, that after Bosnia and Afghanistan, air power and Special Forces were all that were needed.
This did not come from Rumsfeld surrogates, but was a fair enough reflection of the wild new intoxication before Iraq — that a supposed “revolution in military affairs†had changed the ancient rules of war, as if our technology would now give us exemption from hurt. Many of those who now most shrilly condemn the war had in fact years ago rattled their sabers for “moral†wars to eliminate dictators — predicated on just this foolish utopian notion that GPS bombing and laser-guided missiles had at last given us the tools needed for removing the tumors with precision and at little cost, as we conducted lifesaving moral surgery on diseased states.
No, nothing has changed about Iraq other than its tragic tab. Changes of view are fine, as long as those who now criticize the effort at least acknowledge the climate in which fighting in Iraq was born, and the real conditions under which they themselves once supported the war — and lost heart.
No doubt few recall it – and certainly fewer still wish to – but in the midst of the Desert Storm air war an opinion piece appeared in the pages of the Washington Post bemoaning the fact that the U.S. was blasting Saddam’s forces with airpower instead of getting down there in the dirt with them and duking it out man to man.
Apparently distressed to no ends by our failure to materialize the vision of “50,000 body bags coming back from the desert” presented by an “expert” witness to Senator Kennedy’s committee – the Wash Post writer all but called us a bunch of sissies scared to fight the real men in the battle-hardened Iraqi Army. We were cheating – flying over in airplanes and dropping bombs on hapless troops – disgraceful!
So now we are duking it out man to man – to save lives rather than take them – and we are still far, far away from those 50,000 body bags – and now we are taking too many casualties and have to get out.
There is just no pleaseing some people…..
A sharp eyed and sharp witted post.
War is hell. In many more ways than one. The fog of war, likewise, evidences itself in many more ways than one as well. The 24/7 media saturated culture leverages and accents these factors endlessly and in innumerable ways. Hence the need for both a general polity and a political leadership informed by a profoundly human gravitas, capable of discerning with as much worldly wisdom as might be hoped for while also capable of communicating that gravitas and wisdom to the general polity. Still, with all the imperfections in us and in our leadership, I still don’t see what the Left/Dems offer beyond incredibly superficial critiques, almost exclusively on the via negativa and worse, which is to say ad hominem attacks, demonizations, etc., along with the historical revisionism a la Clinton, Albright and Co.
Alas.
Parallels between Britain and the U.S., Charles Moore, Suez to Iraq: how to weaken the will of the West, excerpt:
“Suez was a much more incontestable and sudden failure than Iraq has been, but even there the analysis that led to invasion was not all wrong. Nasser was bidding to control the Arab world and turn it against the West, enlisting the help of the Soviet Union. Much misery would have been prevented if he had been stopped. In retirement, Eisenhower came to the view that his biggest foreign policy error had been not to back Britain over Suez.
“In the case of Iraq, Bush and Blair were right that Saddam was standing proof that the doctrine of “stability” was not working. The great Sunni/Shia conflict that the West is accused of stirring up today had already produced hundreds of thousands of dead in the Iran/Iraq war, and a long-running internal conflict that for years we allowed Saddam to win by mass murder. Saddam invaded Kuwait, and survived his ejection from it. He supported terrorism in other countries. He possessed weapons of mass destruction (yesterday’s New York Times has new material on his nuclear programme), and we still do not know what happened to them. He flouted UN resolutions for years. It was good to get rid of him; it won’t be sad when he’s dead.
[...]
“It is not mad ideology that got us into this war – or rather, the madness and the ideology come from our opponents, not from ourselves. If we do pull all our troops out, mock Blair and Bush, and hail some deal with Iran as “peace”, we shall have a few weeks of self-congratulation, but that is all.
“The Islamist movements that wait to cheer our withdrawal are not militarily strong, but they are good at what they call “the management of savagery”, and they know that the West’s attention span is much shorter than their own. It is a pity that we seem so determined to prove them right.”
h/t Winds of Change